Publications
Journal papers
2026
2025
- Linden, K., Green, N., Muir, A., Malcolmson, J.W., Mohiddin, S.A., & O’Mahony, C. (2025). Size matters. Prevalence and clinical implications of left ventricular apical aneurysms in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: a systematic review and meta‐analysis. Journal of the American Heart Association, 14(15). https://doi.org/10.1161/JAHA.124.037234
- Green, N., Kurt, M., Moshyk, A., Larkin, J., & Baio, G. (2025). A Bayesian Hierarchical Mixture Cure Modelling Framework to Utilize Multiple Survival Datasets for Long-Term Survivorship Estimates: A Case Study From Previously Untreated Metastatic Melanoma. Statistics in Medicine, 44: e70132. https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.70132
- Green, N., Manalan, K., Hayama, M., et al. (2025). Latent tuberculosis infection screening of adult close contacts: a cost-utility analysis. ERJ Open Research, 11(3): 00818-2024. https://doi.org/10.1183/23120541.00818-2024
- Wang, X., Pahwa, A., Bausch-Jurken, M.T., Chitkara, A., Sharma, P., Malmenäs, M., Vats, S., Whitfield, M.G., Lai, K.Z.H., Dasari, P., Gupta, R., Nassim, M., Van de Velde, N., Green, N., & Beck, E. (2025). Comparative Effectiveness of mRNA-1273 and BNT162b2 COVID-19 Vaccines Among Adults with Underlying Medical Conditions: Systematic Literature Review and Pairwise Meta-Analysis Using GRADE. Advances in Therapy. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12325-025-03117-7
2024
- Smith, R.A., Samyshkin, Y., Mohammed, W., Lamrock, F., Ward, T., Smith, J., Martin, A., Schneider, P., Lee, D., Baio, G., Thom, H., Green, N., Richardson, M., El Alili, M., Pouwels, X., Lewis, C., & Deniz, B. (2024). assertHE: an R package to improve quality assurance of HTA models. Wellcome Open Research, 9:701. https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.23180.1
- Husserl, K., Ismaila, A.S., Malmenäs, M., Noorduyn, S.G., Green, N., Compton, C., Thabane, L., Vogelmeier, C.F., & Halpin, D.M.G. (2024). Assessing the comparative effects of interventions in COPD: a tutorial on network meta-analysis for clinicians. Respiratory Research, 25, 438. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12931-024-03056-x
- Papadopoulou, C., Martin, N., Rafiq, N., McCann, L., Varner, G., Nott, K., Compeyrot-Lacassagne, S., Leandro, M., Foley, C., Warrier, K., Green, N., Wan, M., Dehbi, H.M., Whitehead, J., Eleftheriou, D., & Brogan, P. (2024). Elicitation of expert prior opinion to design the BARJDM trial in juvenile dermatomyositis. Rheumatology. https://doi.org/10.1093/rheumatology/keae392
- Cavazzin, B., MacDonell, C., Green, N., & Rothwell, J.J. (2024). Air pollution biomonitoring in an urban-industrial setting (Taranto, Italy) using Mediterranean plant species. Atmospheric Pollution Research, 15(6), 102105. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apr.2024.102105
- Charnley, G.E.C., Green, N., Kelman, I., et al. (2024). Evaluating the risk of conflict on recent Ebola outbreaks in Guinea and the Democratic Republic of the Congo. BMC Public Health, 24, 860. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-024-18300-8
- Kavikondala, S., Haeussler, K., Wang, X., Bausch-Jurken, M.T., Nassim, M., Mishra, N.K., Malmenäs, M., Sharma, P., Van de Velde, N., Green, N., & Beck, E. (2024). Comparative Effectiveness of mRNA-1273 and BNT162b2 COVID-19 Vaccines Among Older Adults: Systematic Literature Review and Meta-Analysis Using the GRADE Framework. Infectious Diseases and Therapy. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40121-024-00936-z
2023
- Green, N., Lamrock, F., Naylor, N., Williams, J., & Briggs, A. (2023). Health Economic Evaluation Using Markov Models in R for Microsoft Excel Users: A Tutorial. PharmacoEconomics, 41, 5–19. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40273-022-01199-7
- Naylor, N.R., Williams, J., Green, N., Lamrock, F., & Briggs, A. (2023). Extensions of Health Economic Evaluation in R for Microsoft Excel Users: A Tutorial for Incorporating Heterogeneity and Conducting Value of Information Analyses. PharmacoEconomics, 41(1):21-32. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/36437359/
- de Godoy, L.L., Studart-Neto, A., de Paula, D.R., Green, N., Halder, A., Arantes, P., Chaim, K.T., Moraes, N.C., Yassuda, M.S., Nitrini, R., Dresler, M., da Costa Leite, C., Panovska-Griffiths, J., Soddu, A., & Bisdas, S. (2023). Phenotyping Superagers Using Resting-State fMRI. American Journal of Neuroradiology. https://doi.org/10.3174/ajnr.A7820
- Green, N., Chen, Y., O’Mahony, C., Elliott, P.M., Barriales-Villa, R., Monserrat, L., Anastasakis, A., Biagini, E., Gimeno, J.R., Limongelli, G., et al. (2023). A cost-effectiveness analysis of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy sudden cardiac death risk algorithms for implantable cardioverter defibrillator decision-making. European Heart Journal - Quality of Care and Clinical Outcomes. https://doi.org/10.1093/ehjqcco/qcad050
2022
- Che, Z., Green, N., & Baio, G. (2022). Blended Survival Curves: A New Approach to Extrapolation for Time-to-Event Outcomes from Clinical Trial in Health Technology Assessment. Journal of Medical Decision Making. https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/epub/10.1177/0272989X221134545
- Yang, J., Kim, H.Y., Park, S., Sentissi, I., Green, N., Oh, B.K., Kim, Y., Oh, K.H., Paek, E., Park, Y.J., Oh, I.H., & Lee, S.H. (2022). Cost-effectiveness of a medication event monitoring system for tuberculosis management in Morocco. PLoS ONE, 17(4). https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/authors?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0267292
- Green, N., Agossa, F., Yovogan, B., Oxborough, R., Kitau, J., Müller, P., Constant, E., Rowland, M., Tchacaya, E.F.S., Benjamin, K.G., Churcher, T.S., Betancourt, M., & Sherrard-Smith, E. (2022). An evidence synthesis approach for combining different data sources illustrated using entomological efficacy of insecticides for indoor residual spraying. PLoS ONE, 17(3). https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/comments?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0263446
- Green, N., Heath, A., & Baio, G. (2022). BCEA: An R Package for Cost-Effectiveness Analysis. Journal of Open Source Software, 7(77), 4206. https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.04206
2021
- Charnley, G.E.C., Kelman, I., Green, N., Hinsley, W., Gaythorpe, K.A.M., & Murray, K.A. (2021). Exploring relationships between drought and epidemic cholera in Africa using generalised linear models. BMC Infectious Diseases, 21(1), pp 1-12. https://bmcinfectdis.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12879-021-06856-4
- Halliday, A., Jain, P., Hoang, L., Parker, R., Tolosa-Wright, M., Masonou, T., Green, N., Boakye, A., Takwoingi, Y., Hamilton, S., & Mandagere, V. (2021). New technologies for diagnosing active TB: the VANTDET diagnostic accuracy study.
- Tordrup, D., Bishop, C., Green, N., & Pallito, C. (2022). Economic burden of female genital mutilation in 27 high-prevalence countries. BMJ Global Health, 7:e004512. https://gh.bmj.com/content/7/2/e004512
- Gupta, R.K., Lule, S.A., Krutikov, M., Gosce, L., Green, N., Southern, J., Imran, A., Aldridge, R.W., Kunst, H., Lipman, M., Lynn, W., Burgess, H., Rahman, A., Menezes, D., Rahman, A., Tiberi, S., White, P.J., & Abubakar, I. (2021). Screening for tuberculosis among high-risk groups attending London emergency departments: a prospective observational study. European Respiratory Journal, 57(6):2003831. https://doi.org/10.1183/13993003.03831-2020
2020
- Wloch, C., Jan van Hoek, A., Green, N., Connelly, J., Harrington, P., Sheridan, E., Wilson, J., & Lamagni, T. (2020). Cost-benefit analysis of surveillance for surgical site infection following caesarean section. BMJ Open, 10(7). https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/10/7/e036919
- Manalan, K., Green, N., Arnold, A., Cooke, G., Dedicoat, M., Lipman, M., Harrison, T., & Kon, O.M. (2020). A UK cost comparison of amikacin therapy with bedaquiline, for drug resistant tuberculosis. European Respiratory Journal, 56: 476. https://doi.org/10.1183/13993003.congress-2020.476
- Manalan, K., Green, N., Arnold, A., Cooke, G.S., Dedicoat, M., Lipman, M., Loyse, A., Harrison, T., & Kon, O.M. (2020). A cost comparison of amikacin therapy with bedaquiline, for drug resistant tuberculosis in the UK. Journal of Infection, 80(1), pp 38-41. https://www.journalofinfection.com/article/S0163-4453(19)30277-4/fulltext
2019
- Halliday, A., Jain, P., Hoang, L., Parker, R., Tolosa-Wright, M., Masonou, T., Green, N., Boakye, A., Takwoingi, Y., & Hamilton, S. (2019). Validation of new technologies for the diagnostic evaluation of active tuberculosis (VANTDET). Efficacy and Mechanism Evaluation.
- Green, N., Sherrard-Smith, E., Tanton, C., Sonnenberg, P., Mercer, C.H., & White, P.J. (2019). Assessing local chlamydia screening performance by combining survey and administrative data to account for differences in local population characteristics. Scientific Reports Nature, pp 1-9:7070. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-43521-y
- Naylor, N.R., Pouwels, K.B., Hope, R., Green, N., Henderson, K.L., Knight, G.M., Atun, R., Robotham, J.V., & Deeny, S.R. (2019). The health and cost burden of antibiotic resistant and susceptible Escherichia coli bacteraemia in the English hospital setting: A national retrospective cohort study. PLoS ONE, 14(9): e0221944.
2017
- Green, N., & White, P.J. (2017). i-sense EPSRC Annual Report 2016/17, The value of rapid influenza testing in a pandemic, i-sense Exploratory Project.
- Hayama, M., Green, N., Seneviratne, S.L., O’Donoghue, M., Drey, N., & Kon, O.M. (2017). Latent tuberculosis infection screening of adult close contacts in London: a cost-utility analysis. Thorax, 72: A174-A174. (Winter meeting of the British Thoracic Society, London).
2016
- Takwoingi, Y., Whitworth, H., Badhan, A., Partlett, C., Rees-Roberts, M., Green, N., Boakye, A., Jit, M., White, P.J., Deeks, J., Kon, O.M., & Lalvani, A.J., on behalf of the IGRAs for Diagnostic Evaluation of Active TB (IDEA) Study Group (2016). Interferon-gamma release assays for diagnostic evaluation of active tuberculosis (IDEA): test accuracy study and economic evaluation. Health Technology Assessment.
2015
- Drobniewski, F., Cooke, M., Jordan, J., Casali, N., Mugwagwa, T., Broda, A., Townsend, C., Sivaramakrishnan, A., Green, N., Jit, M., Lipman, M., Lord, J., White, P.J., & Abubakar, I. (2015). Systematic review, meta-analysis and economic modelling of molecular diagnostic tests for antibiotic resistance in tuberculosis. Health Technology Assessment, 19.
- Dangerfield, C.E., Sherrard-Smith, E., Green, N., Harding-Esch, E., Howell-Jones, R., Choi, Y.H., Lowndes, C.M., & White, P.J. (2015). Impact and cost-effectiveness of point-of-care testing for chlamydia: accounting for geographic variation in infection burden and testing rates, health service configuration, and implementation strategy. Sexually Transmitted Infections, 91: A152-A153. (Conference).
- Harding-Esch, E., Sherrard-Smith, E., Dangerfield, C.E., Choi, Y.H., Green, N., Jit, M., Marshall, R.D., Mercer, C., Nardone, A., & Howell-Jones, R. (2015). Web-tool to assess the cost-effectiveness of chlamydia point-of-care tests at the local level. Sexually Transmitted Infections, 91: A143-A143. (Conference).
2014
- Green, N., Johnson, A.P., Henderson, K.L., Muller-Pebody, B., Thelwall, S., Robotham, J.V., Sharland, M., Wolkewitz, M., & Deeny, S.R. (2014). Quantifying the burden of hospital-acquired bloodstream infection in children in England, estimating excess length of hospital stay and mortality using a multistate analysis of linked routinely collected data. Journal of the Peadiatric Infectious Diseases Society. https://doi.org/10.1093/jpids/piu073
- van Kleef, E., Green, N., Goldenberg, S.D., Robotham, J.V., Cookson, B., Jit, M., Edmunds, W.J., & Deeny, S.R. (2014). Excess length of stay and mortality due to Clostridium difficile infection: a multi-state modelling approach. Journal of Hospital Infection, 88(4): 213–217.
- Lowndes, C.M., Sherrard-Smith, E., Dangerfield, C.E., Choi, Y.H., Green, N., Jit, M., Marshall, R.D., Mercer, C., Harding-Esch, E., Nardone, A., Howell-Jones, R., Bason, J., Johnson, O.A., Price, C.P., Gaydos, C.A., Sadiq, S.T., & White, P.J. (2014). Point-of-care vs. Standard Practice for Chlamydia: A new approach to assessing the public health effect of rapid testing and treatment at local level. Lancet, 384: S47.
2011
- Ainsworth, J.D., Carruthers, E., Couch, P., Green, N., O’Flaherty, M., Sperrin, M., Williams, R., Asghar, Z., Capewell, S., & Buchan, I.E. (2011). IMPACT: A generic tool for modelling and simulating public health policy. Methods of Information in Medicine, 50(5), 454-463. https://doi.org/10.3414/ME11-02-0006
- Green, N. (2011). ABC for Coronary Heart Disease Modelling. The 30th Leeds Annual Statistical Research Workshop (LASR).
2009
- Robins, P., Rapley, V., & Green, N. (2009). Real-Time Sequential Inference of Static Parameters with Expensive Likelihood Calculations. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (JRSS), Series C, Applied Statistics, 58, 641-662.
2007
- Clancy, D. & Green, N. (2007). Optimal Intervention for an Epidemic Model under Uncertainty. Mathematical Biosciences, 205, 297–314.
2005
- Green, N. (2005). Optimal Intervention for an Epidemic Model under Uncertainty. PhD Thesis, University of Liverpool.
Books
- Baio, G., Berardi, A., Heath, A., & Green, N.. Bayesian Cost-Effectiveness Analysis with the R package BCEA (Use R!). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-55718-2
- Green, N., Dixon, P., Krijkamp, E., & Thom, H. (2025). Decision Trees. In: Baio, G., Thom, H., Pechlivanoglou, P. (Eds). R for Health Technology Assessment. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press. https://doi.org/10.1201/9781003031819-8
Newspaper and magazine articles
- Green, N. (2023, Feb 10). Why your data viz needs alt text. Significance, 20(1):38-39. link
- Green, N. (2012, Sep 26). Gas! Gas! Gas! Hazard Management of a Covert Chemical Release on the Battlefield. Significance online (Royal Statistical Society).
- Green, N. (2011, Dec 2). Statistics Series Introduction. The Guardian.
- Green, N. (2011, Dec 2). Biased Sample Statistics. The Guardian.
- Green, N. (2011, Dec 9). Average Means Medians Modes. The Guardian.
- Green, N. (2011, Dec 23). Moon Full p-value Statistics. The Guardian.
- Green, N. (2012, Jan 6). Correlation is not Causation. The Guardian.
- Green, N. (2012, Jan 27). How Good Model. The Guardian.
- Green, N. (2012, Feb 11). Boost Your Sample Size Meta-Analysis. The Guardian.
- Green, N. (2012, June 22). Statistics Confidence Interval Level. The Guardian.
- Green, N. (2012, July 3). Climate Change Pascal’s Wager. The Guardian.
- Green, N. (2011, Aug 17). Pierre De Fermat Theorem Google Doodle. The Guardian.
- Green, N. (2011, Aug 18). A-level Results Science Mathematics. The Guardian.
- Green, N. (2011, Aug 25). Speed Cameras Accidents Maths. The Guardian.
- Green, N. (2011, Sept 1). Richard Dawkins Evolution Children Five. The Guardian.
- Green, N. (2011, Sept 12). Technology Metals. The Guardian.
- Green, N. (2011, Sept 13). Forensic Science Content Transference. The Guardian.
- Green, N. (2011, Sept 14). Dark Matter of the Genome. The Guardian.
- Green, N. (2011, Sept 16). Sports Data. The Guardian.
- Green, N. (2012, Sept 12). School of Hard Sums. Significance online (Royal Statistical Society).
- Green, N. (2013, April/May). ‘They’ know where you live, work, eat, shop… - Terrible truths about 21st century privacy. Guru Magazine.
- Green, N. (2019, April 18). The Bradford Hill Memorial Lecture. RSS sections and groups meeting reports, Medical Section.
- Green, N. (2019, Dec 5). The Case Fatality Ratio – How can estimating a proportion be complicated? RSS sections and groups meeting reports, Medical Section.
- Green, N. (2021, Sept). Novel advances in Bayesian Health economics. RSS sections and groups meeting reports, Medical Section.
Book reviews
- Green, N. (2025). Research software engineering: A guide to the open source ecosystem by Matthias Bannert. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society, qnaf028. https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssa/qnaf028
- Green, N. (2022). Statistical Rethinking: A Bayesian Course with Examples in R and Stan. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 185(1), 426-427.
- Green, N. (2008, June). Nonplussed - Mathematical Proof of Implausible Ideas, J. Havil. Mathematics Today magazine.
- Green, N. (2015). Statistics for People Who (Think They) Hate Statistics, N. J. Salkind. Royal Statistical Society.
